Tuesday, April 18, 2006

Prodi leader....di un asse anti-USA!

Il Financial Times non è l'unico organo di informazione estero a nutrire sani dubbi sulla coalizione Prodiana che si propone di governare.

Da un briefing paper dell'Heritage Foundation si desume che, ragionando, non ci può essere la fiducia nella durata di un governo così composto, addirittura si arriva a pronosticarne una fine entro 6 mesi/1 anno.

Buona lettura.


Italy's Regime Change: What Washington can Expect from Romano Prodi
by Nile Gardiner, Ph.D.


April 12, 2006



Italy’s left-wing Union coalition, headed by Romano Prodi, has claimed victory in this week’s general election. Incumbent Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi, however, refuses to concede and has demanded a recount of 43,000 spoiled ballots. If Prodi succeeds in forming the next Italian government in May, as is likely, he will face a huge challenge in governing the country effectively with a wafer-thin majority, and Italians can expect a new era of political uncertainty, with the prospect of another election in the near future.


Given the divisions within Prodi’s multi-colored coalition, which includes unreconstructed Communists, centre-left parties, Greens, Catholic groups, and some Christian Democrats, it is difficult to see how Prodi will keep the warring factions together. It is even harder to see how the new government will be able to deal with the huge economic problems that have earned Italy the reputation as the new ‘sick man of Europe,’ a staggering achievement considering the intense competition for the title from both France and Germany. Prodi’s last government in the 1990s lasted less than two years, brought down in 1998 by a disagreement with the powerful Communist Refoundation Party. It is conceivable that his new administration may not survive beyond six months to a year.


Despite this domestic weakness, Prodi is likely to be aggressive on the international stage, and will attempt to fundamentally alter the outlook of Italy’s foreign policy. As the centre-right period of dominance in Italian politics draws to an end, the U.S. must watch for a potential anti-American axis developing between Rome, Paris, and Madrid.




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